Free projections for YouTube Shorts, TikTok & Instagram Reels
Whether you're a new creator wondering how fast you can grow on TikTok, or an established YouTuber exploring Shorts, this free calculator gives you realistic growth projections based on your niche, posting frequency, and current performance. Unlike generic estimates, our projections use platform-specific data for YouTube Shorts, TikTok, and Instagram Reels.
The calculator estimates your 30-day and 90-day follower growth, total view projections, expected engagement rates, and potential monetization from creator funds and brand deals. It also recommends optimal posting times based on when your niche's audience is most active.
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Everything you need to know about projecting your short-form video growth
Our shorts growth projections are based on aggregated data from thousands of creators across different niches. While individual results vary based on content quality, consistency, and algorithm changes, our estimates provide a realistic benchmark for what creators typically achieve. The calculator uses niche-specific engagement rates and growth multipliers to give you personalized projections.
For optimal YouTube Shorts growth, most successful creators post 1-3 times daily. However, consistency matters more than volume. Our calculator factors in your posting frequency to show how increased output affects your growth trajectory. Starting with 5-7 shorts per week is a sustainable approach for new creators.
Enter your current average views per video and posting frequency into our calculator. We multiply your baseline views by niche-specific viral coefficients and posting consistency multipliers to project your 30-day and 90-day view totals. TikTok's algorithm favors consistent posters, so increasing frequency typically yields exponential rather than linear growth.
Optimal posting times vary by niche. Our calculator provides niche-specific posting time recommendations. Generally, posting during commute hours (7-9 AM, 5-7 PM) and evening leisure time (8-11 PM) works well. For gaming content, late evening performs best. For educational content, morning and lunch hours see higher engagement.
YouTube Shorts RPM (revenue per mille) typically ranges from $0.01 to $0.06 per 1,000 views, significantly lower than long-form content. Our monetization calculator estimates your potential Creator Fund earnings based on your projected views. Most creators earn $100-500/month from Shorts ad revenue at 1M+ monthly views.
Yes! Our growth calculator supports YouTube Shorts, TikTok, and Instagram Reels. Each platform has different engagement patterns and growth rates, which our calculator accounts for. Instagram Reels typically have higher engagement rates but slower follower growth compared to TikTok, while YouTube Shorts offers better long-term discoverability.
Key factors for higher engagement: strong hooks in the first 1-2 seconds, pattern interrupts every 3-5 seconds, clear calls-to-action, and trending audio. Our Hook Library has 290+ proven hooks to boost retention. The calculator shows your estimated engagement rate based on niche benchmarks and how improvements could affect your growth.
Entertainment, comedy, and reaction content typically see the fastest raw growth. However, niches like finance, education, and business have higher monetization potential through brand deals and affiliate marketing. Our calculator adjusts projections based on your selected niche, showing both growth and monetization estimates.
Yes! After calculating your projections, click the "Share Results" button to copy a unique URL. This link preserves all your inputs so others can see your exact projections. It's great for sharing with collaborators, managers, or your community to discuss growth strategies.
We recommend recalculating monthly or whenever you make significant changes to your content strategy. Update your average views and follower count to get fresh projections. Tracking your actual results against projections helps you identify what's working and optimize your approach.
There's no official threshold, but most creators consider a Short "viral" when it exceeds 100K-1M views. The YouTube Shorts algorithm can push content to millions of viewers if early engagement signals are strong. Our calculator helps you project realistic view counts based on your current performance, so you can set achievable milestones on your path to viral content.
With consistent posting (1-2 Shorts daily), most creators reach 1,000 subscribers in 1-3 months. However, this varies significantly by niche and content quality. Educational and how-to content often converts viewers to subscribers faster than entertainment. Use our calculator to project your subscriber growth based on your specific niche and posting frequency.
Shorts are better for rapid audience growth and discovery, while long-form videos generate more ad revenue and deeper audience relationships. The ideal strategy combines both: use Shorts to attract new viewers, then convert them to long-form watchers. Our calculator focuses on short-form growth, which is typically 3-5x faster than long-form for new creators.
TikTok follower growth varies widely. New creators posting daily typically gain 500-5,000 followers in their first month. Accounts that hit viral content can gain 10,000-100,000+ in a single month. Our calculator provides realistic ranges based on your niche, posting frequency, and average views. Entertainment niches grow faster, while B2B niches grow slower but with higher-value followers.
For short-form video, a good engagement rate is 4-6%, with 8%+ considered excellent. This includes likes, comments, shares, and saves relative to views. TikTok typically sees higher engagement (5-9%) than YouTube Shorts (3-6%) or Instagram Reels (4-7%). Our calculator estimates your expected engagement rate based on niche benchmarks.
YouTube Shorts doesn't rely on existing subscribers for distribution - it's algorithm-driven. To get views with 0 subscribers: use strong hooks in the first second, keep videos under 30 seconds initially, post during peak hours for your niche, use trending sounds, and include 3-5 relevant hashtags. Consistency matters most - the algorithm favors creators who post regularly.
YouTube Shorts typically get their initial push within 1-2 hours of posting. If early engagement (watch time, likes, shares) is strong, the algorithm expands distribution over 24-72 hours. Some Shorts see delayed virality weeks later. The algorithm tests your content with small audiences first, then scales based on performance. Posting when your target audience is most active improves your chances of a strong initial push.
Yes, but rarely from ad revenue alone. At $0.03 RPM, you'd need 300+ million monthly views for $10K from the Creator Fund. Most creators hitting $10K/month combine multiple income streams: Shorts ad revenue ($500-2K), brand sponsorships ($2-5K), affiliate marketing ($1-3K), and selling their own products. Our calculator shows monetization potential across these different revenue streams.
TikTok typically offers faster initial growth and higher viral potential for new creators. YouTube Shorts provides better long-term discoverability and easier monetization through the broader YouTube ecosystem. TikTok's algorithm is more aggressive about testing new content, while YouTube Shorts rewards consistency over time. Our calculator accounts for these platform differences when projecting your growth.